Objective: To investigate the correlation between the dynamic changes in serum carbohydrate antigen 125 (CA125) levels and immune profiles as well as clinical prognosis in patients with recurrent ovarian cancer receiving bevacizumab combined with paclitaxel and carboplatin chemotherapy, with the aim of providing a basis for individualized treatment and prognostic evaluation.
Methods:A total of 90 patients with recurrent ovarian cancer admitted to the Cancer Hospital of Shantou University Medical College between June 2019 to June 2024 were enrolled in this study. Serum levels CA125, immunoglobulin A (IgA), IgG, IgM, complement component 3 (C3), and C4 were measured at the following time points: before chemotherapy (T0), at week 3 (T1), week 6 (T2), and week 9 (T3) of chemotherapy. A latent class growth model (LCGM) combined with a growth mixture model (GMM) was applied to characterize the trajectory of CA125 level changes throughout the chemotherapy course. Differences in demographic characteristics and immunological indicators across trajectory groups were compared, and generalized estimating equations (GEE) were used to examine the longitudinal associations between CA125 trajectory patterns and immunological indicators. Multivariate logistic regression was then employed to identify factors influencing CA125 level changes during chemotherapy, and COX proportional hazard regression model was conducted to assess the association between CA125 trajectory patterns and unfavorable prognosis.
Results: In 90 patients with recurrent ovarian cancer receiving bevacizumab combined with taxane-based and carboplatin chemotherapy, serum CA125 levels showed a progressive downward trend as chemotherapy advanced. The mean serum CA125 levels at T0, T1, T2, and T3 were 689.35±121.34 U/mL, 516.67±168.37 U/mL, 140.13±39.42 U/mL, and 30.12±9.27 U/mL, respectively (P < 0.05). Based on the trajectory of CA125 changes, patients were classified into three groups: the stable group (n=32, 35.56%), characterized by a gradual change in CA125 levels from T0 to T3 (β=−0.15, P<0.001); the rapid decline group (n=37, 41.11%), characterized by a sharp decrease in CA125 levels from T0 to T3 (β = − 1.54, P<0.001); and the slow decline group (n=21, 23.33%), characterized by a steady decrease in CA125 levels from T0 to T3 (β=−0.82, P<0.001). Age≥50 years, serous histological type, and unilateral ovarian involvement were identified as independent factors associated with a rapid decline in CA125 levels during chemotherapy (all P<0.05), while serous histological type and unilateral ovarian involvement were also independently associated with a slow decline in CA125 levels (both P<0.05). At each time point from T1 to T3, the levels of IgA, IgG, IgM, C3, and C4 in the stable group were significantly higher than those in both the rapid decline group and the slow decline groups (all P<0.05). GEE analysis revealed that, compared with the stable group, the CA125 levels in both the rapid decline group and the slow decline group were negatively correlated with all the aforementioned immunological indicators (all P<0.05). COX regression analysis showed that patients in the rapid decline group had a higher risk of unfavorable prognosis than those in the stable group [hazard ratio (HR)=1.624], whereas patients in the slow decline group had a lower risk of unfavorable prognosis (HR=0.447); these associations remained consistent across all subgroups (P<0.05).
Conclusion: During bevacizumab combined with paclitaxel and carboplatin chemotherapy, CA125 level changes in patients with recurrent ovarian cancer exhibit significant heterogeneity, with notable differences in immune profiles and prognostic outcomes across different CA125 trajectory groups. Compared with patients in the stable group, those in the rapid decline group demonstrate relatively weaker immune function and a higher risk of unfavorable prognosis, whereas patients in the slow decline group exhibited a relatively better immune status and a lower risk of unfavorable prognosis. Dynamic monitoring of CA125 trajectory patterns throughout chemotherapy may provide clinically valuable reference for assessing immune status and predicting prognosis in patients with recurrent ovarian cancer.